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For new back pain, starting with opioids was linked to more addiction risk than therapy

Back painPart of a story we are following · 3 articles · See every update
Card: starting back pain treatment with higher-dose opioids was linked to 146.6% higher addiction risk.
Chart: Mongevity
Evidence C · ModerateVery large cohort of new users with adjustment, but observational, limited to Medicaid adults under 65 and based on billing records.How we grade evidence

Starting with higher-dose opioids or gabapentinoids was linked to higher risk of opioid use disorder or overdose, while chiropractic care and physical therapy were linked to lower risk, in a study of 399 500 US Medicaid patients with new low back pain published Oct. 1, 2026, in JAMA Network Open. The first treatment for back pain matters.

Acute low back pain is one of the most common reasons people see a doctor. Guidelines recommend starting with non-drug treatments, such as physical therapy, heat or manual therapy, but many people still get opioids.

What did the study look at?

Researchers used Medicaid records from 25 US states, from 2016 to 2019, for 399 500 adults under 65 who had never used opioids and started treatment for newly diagnosed acute low back pain. They tracked new diagnoses of opioid use disorder or overdose over the following year, comparing different first treatments.

What did the study find about back pain?

The overall risk of opioid use disorder or overdose was 1.4% at 7 months and 2.3% at 13 months. Compared with not using each treatment:

Opioid use disorder or overdose risk by first treatment for acute low back pain
First treatment Change in risk vs. not using it
Higher-dose opioids 146.6% higher
Lower-dose opioids for more than 7 days 105.2% higher
Gabapentinoids 101.6% higher
Chiropractic care 32.8% lower
Physical therapy 31.1% lower
Source: JAMA Network Open (2026-11-02)

Why does this matter?

The first treatment for a common problem can shape what happens months later. These results support guidelines that favor non-drug treatments first, and they raise concern about gabapentinoids, which are sometimes seen as a safer alternative to opioids.

How solid is this evidence?

It’s moderate. Mongevity rates it C on our A-to-E scale. The study is very large and focused on new users, but it’s observational: people who got opioids may have had more severe pain or other differences. It included only Medicaid patients under 65, and diagnoses came from billing records.

What does this mean for you?

If you have new low back pain, staying gently active, heat, and seeing a physical therapist or other manual therapist are good first steps for most people. If an opioid is prescribed, ask whether there are alternatives, and if you take one, use the lowest dose for the shortest time. Seek care urgently for red flags such as leg weakness, numbness in the groin or trouble controlling bladder or bowels.

How do I explain this at dinner?

When people’s backs start hurting, doctors can offer pills or therapy that moves the body. People who started with strong pain pills were more likely to get hooked on them later. A good question for the table: what helps your back when it hurts?

In one sentence: for new low back pain, starting with opioids or gabapentinoids was linked to higher risk of opioid addiction, while physical therapy and chiropractic care were linked to lower risk.

Questions and answers

Is it risky to start with opioids for back pain?
In this study, higher-dose opioids as a first treatment were linked to a 146.6% higher risk of opioid use disorder or overdose.
Are gabapentinoids safer?
Not in this study: starting them was linked to a 101.6% higher risk.
What first treatments were linked to lower risk?
Chiropractic care (32.8% lower) and physical therapy (31.1% lower).

Sources

  1. JAMA Network Open, initial treatment for acute low back pain and risk of opioid use disorder and overdose (Medicaid cohort) (PMID 42895745 · DOI 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2026.39420) · 2026-11-02

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